Miyu Nakashima vs Yui Chikaraishi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve stats show Miyu Nakashima ahead with a 39.07% win rate, compared to Yui Chikaraishi’s 30.80%. Could this impact the match outcome significantly? It often does.
• In returning second serves, both players are close, yet Nakashima has a slight edge at 50.35%, compared to Chikaraishi's 49.14%.
• For first serve returns, their performance is nearly identical, with Chikaraishi at 35.34% and Nakashima at 35.32%.
• When under pressure, Chikaraishi saves 41.26% of breakpoints, which slightly betters Nakashima’s 36.89%.
• Over the past year, Nakashima has a stronger match win record at 57.69%, while Chikaraishi stands at 43.90%.
• Both players perform best on hard courts, with Nakashima holding a better win percentage of 54% compared to Chikaraishi’s 50%.
• In Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, Nakashima has shown more consistency, winning 60.87% of matches compared to Chikaraishi's 40.91%.
• In their head-to-head encounters, Nakashima leads by winning their only match so far in straight sets.
• Nakashima has faced stronger competition, with an average opponent rank of 241.92 versus Chikaraishi’s 354.85.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Chikaraishi may have a slight upper hand, winning 60% compared to Nakashima’s 55% record in such scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (September 29, 2025, UTC):

Miyu Nakashima holds a slight advantage in several crucial areas that could influence the upcoming match's outcome. Her stronger second serve and return game, along with a higher overall match-win percentage, point to her being the more consistent player.

Yui Chikaraishi, while competitive in breakpoint defense, has yet to demonstrate an ability to outperform Nakashima in head-to-head settings, having lost their only prior meeting in straight sets.

Given Nakashima’s recent forms, such as her performance against higher-ranked opponents and success on hard surfaces, she emerges as the favorite. Therefore, Miyu Nakashima is most likely to win this upcoming tennis match.